Skip to main content

Table 4 Predictors for residency match success for non-US graduates (N = 625)

From: Relationship between individual and country-level socio-economic background, USMLE step scores, and demographics of international medical graduates and residency match results

Predictor

Predictors of residency match

Predictors of match to preferred specialty

Predictors match to top-3 chosen programs

Odds Ratio (95% CI)

P-Value

Odds Ratio (95% CI)

P-Value

Odds Ratio (95% CI)

P-Value

Demographics

Age

  Per Year

0.91 (0.87, 0.96)

0.001 *

0.93 (0.88, 0.98)

0.005 *

0.92 (0.87, 0.96)

< 0.001 *

Gender

  Not Male

Reference

     

  Male

0.93 (0.60, 1.45)

0.75

0.76 (0.50, 1.15)

0.20

0.81 (0.56, 1.17)

0.27

Visa Status

  Not Requiring Sponsorship

Reference

     

  Requiring Sponsorship

0.81 (0.49, 1.34)

0.42

1.15 (0.71, 1.85)

0.57

0.80 (0.51, 1.23)

0.31

Socio-economic background

Parent Education

  No College Degree

Reference

     

  College Degree or Higher

1.45 (0.79, 2.67)

0.23

1.33 (0.74, 2.38)

0.34

1.81 (1.06, 3.10)

0.029 *

Parent Occupation

  Not Healthcare

Reference

     

  Healthcare

1.32 (0.80, 2.17)

0.27

1.11 (0.70, 1.76)

0.66

1.29 (0.86, 1.94)

0.22

Family Income

  Average

Reference

     

  Lower

2.33 (1.23, 4.37)

0.009 *

2.12 (1.15, 3.90)

0.016 *

1.42 (0.83, 2.44)

0.20

  Higher

1.69 (1.03, 2.79)

0.040 *

1.59 (0.99, 2.54)

0.054

1.35 (0.89, 2.05)

0.16

Personal Income

  Average

Reference

     

  Lower

1.12 (0.67, 1.86)

0.68

0.83 (0.51, 1.34)

0.44

0.96 (0.63, 1.48)

0.86

  Higher

1.53 (0.84, 2.78)

0.17

1.43 (0.81, 2.52)

0.22

1.31 (0.81, 2.14)

0.27

Country of Origin Income

  Low or Lower Middle

Reference

     

  High or Upper Middle

1.66 (1.06, 2.60)

0.027 *

1.35 (0.89, 2.08)

0.24

1.25 (0.86, 1.83)

0.24

Investment in Match

  Under 1 Month of Income

Reference

     

  1–6 Months of Income

2.03 (0.65, 6.37)

0.22

2.05 (0.72, 5.84)

0.18

2.20 (0.88, 5.47)

0.090

  6–12 Months of Income

1.74 (0.55, 5.56)

0.35

1.34 (0.46, 3.87)

0.59

1.84 (0.73, 4.67)

0.20

  More than 1 Year of Income

0.85 (0.28, 2.57)

0.12

1.02 (0.37, 2.82)

0.97

1.31 (0.54, 3.18)

0.55

Academics and match-related data

USMLE Step 1 Score

  Per 10-point Increase

1.20 (1.01, 1.43)

0.037 *

1.15 (0.98, 1.35)

0.097

1.01 (0.87, 1.16)

0.93

USMLE Step 2 CK Score

  Per 10-Point Increase

1.29 (1.06, 1.56)

0.010 *

1.13 (0.95, 1.36)

0.17

1.14 (0.97, 1.35)

0.10

Previous Match Rounds

  Per Additional Round

0.71 (0.55, 0.93)

0.014 *

0.66 (0.50, 0.87)

0.004 *

0.77 (0.60, 0.99)

0.041 *

Specialties Applied

Per Additional Specialty

0.90 (0.65, 1.24)

0.51

0.44 (0.32, 0.61)

< 0.001 *

0.70 (0.52, 0.94)

0.018 *

  1. *indicates variables with P<0.05 (statistically significant results)