Table 3 Multivariable predictors for success in residency match, full cohort (N = 744)
Predictor | Predictors of residency match | Predictors of match to preferred specialty | Predictors of match to top-3 chosen programs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odds Ratio | 95% CI | P-Value | Odds Ratio | 95% CI | P-Value | Odds Ratio | 95% CI | P-Value | |
Demographics | |||||||||
Age | |||||||||
Per Year | 0.91 | (0.86, 0.95) | < 0.001 | 0.93 | (0.89, 0.98) | 0.003 | 0.92 | (0.88, 0.96) | < 0.001 |
Gender | |||||||||
Not Male | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||||
Male | 0.98 | (0.65, 1.49) | 0.93 | 0.77 | (0.52, 1.14) | 0.31 | 0.84 | (0.60, 1.18) | 0.31 |
Visa Status | |||||||||
Not Requiring Sponsorship | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||||
Requiring Sponsorship | 0.81 | (0.49, 1.34) | 0.42 | 1.16 | (0.72, 1.86) | 0.54 | 0.80 | (0.52, 1.22) | 0.30 |
Socio-economic background | |||||||||
Parent Education | |||||||||
No College Degree | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||||
College Degree or Higher | 1.40 | (0.79, 2.44) | 0.25 | 1.08 | (0.64, 1.82) | 0.77 | 1.36 | (0.85, 2.18) | 0.20 |
Parent Occupation | |||||||||
Not Healthcare | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||||
Healthcare | 1.29 | (0.81, 2.08) | 0.30 | 1.00 | (0.66, 1.54) | 0.99 | 1.05 | (0.72, 1.52) | 0.81 |
Family Income | |||||||||
Average | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||||
Lower | 2.14 | (1.20, 3.87) | 0.011 | 1.71 | (1.00, 2.95) | 0.052 | 1.35 | (0.83, 2.19) | 0.22 |
Higher | 1.65 | (1.02, 2.66) | 0.041 | 1.44 | (0.93, 2.24) | 0.10 | 1.22 | (0.83, 1.81) | 0.31 |
Personal Income | |||||||||
Average | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||||
Lower | 1.15 | (0.71, 1.86) | 0.58 | 0.92 | (0.59, 1.44) | 0.73 | 1.05 | (0.71, 1.55) | 0.82 |
Higher | 1.53 | (0.86, 2.76) | 0.15 | 1.46 | (0.85, 2.53) | 0.17 | 1.42 | (0.89, 2.27) | 0.15 |
Country of origin | |||||||||
Not United states | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||||
United States | 2.61 | (1.22, 5.81) | 0.016 | 1.53 | (0.80, 2.96) | 0.20 | 1.18 | (0.66, 2.12) | 0.58 |
Country of Origin Income | |||||||||
Low or Lower Middle | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||||
High or Upper Middle | 1.66 | (1.06, 2.61) | 0.027 | 1.42 | (0.93, 2.16) | 0.11 | 1.29 | (0.89, 1.87) | 0.18 |
Investment in Match | |||||||||
Under 1 Month of Income | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||||
1–6 Months of Income | 1.71 | (0.58, 4.57) | 0.30 | 1.08 | (0.41, 2.65) | 0.87 | 1.53 | (0.72, 3.23) | 0.26 |
6–12 Months of Income | 1.22 | (0.41, 3.33) | 0.70 | 0.67 | (0.25, 1.69) | 0.41 | 1.34 | (0.61, 2.92) | 0.46 |
More than 1 Year of Income | 0.67 | (0.23, 1.72) | 0.42 | 0.57 | (0.22, 1.37) | 0.22 | 1.03 | (0.48, 2.16) | 0.94 |
Academics and match-related data | |||||||||
USMLE Step 1 Score | |||||||||
Per 10-point Increase | 1.23 | (1.04, 1.46) | 0.017 | 1.18 | (1.01, 1.38) | 0.034 | 1.02 | (0.89, 1.18) | 0.73 |
USMLE Step 2 CK Score | |||||||||
Per 10-Point Increase | 1.27 | (1.05, 1.53) | 0.012 | 1.11 | (0.94, 1.32) | 0.23 | 1.13 | (0.97, 1.32) | 0.12 |
Previous Match Rounds | |||||||||
Per Additional Round | 0.71 | (0.55, 0.91) | 0.007 | 0.67 | (0.51, 0.86) | 0.002 | 0.79 | (0.62, 0.99) | 0.043 |
Specialties Applied | |||||||||
Per Additional Specialty | 0.91 | (0.67, 1.23) | 0.53 | 0.42 | (0.31, 0.56) | < 0.001 | 0.71 | (0.54, 0.93) | 0.012 |