Fig. 5From: Using Markov chain model to evaluate medical students’ trajectory on progress tests and predict USMLE step 1 scores---a retrospective cohort study in one medical schoolSpaghetti plot of ten NBME test scores grouped by students’ predicted probabilities in the latent states. Notes: 1. Thirty-seven Students had predicted probability in the Novice state; 168 had predicted probability in in the Competent state and 153 students had predicted probabilities in Advanced Beginner I & II state. 2. The blue lines are fitted trend lines by each group using smooth fitting methodBack to article page