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Table 5 Factors related to stability of specialty choice from Year 4 medical school to Foundation Year 2 (0 = ‘different choice; 1 = ‘stable choice’)
| Predictors | B (bootstrapped 95% CI) | Bootstrapped standard error | p value | Bootstrapped p value | Odds ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1 = before medical school; 2 = at medical school; 3 = at FY1; 4 = at FY2) | First considered specialty | −0.54 (−2.49, 0.93) | 1.60 | 0.278 | 0.58 | 0.310 |
| (1 = no influence; 2 = moderate influence; 3 = strong influence) | Enjoyed specialty at medical school | 0.95 (−0.45, 3.71) | 2.58 | 0.089 | 2.57 | 0.121 |
| Reference category: General Practice (Paediatrics & Radiology excluded) | Acute care | −2.24 (−20.19, 0.28) | 6.05 | 0.026 | 0.11 | 0.027 |
| Medical specialties | −0.53 (−4.32, 2.36) | 3.98 | 0.553 | 0.59 | 0.612 | |
| Surgical specialties | −2.66 (−24.71, 0.52) | 8.52 | 0.023 | 0.07 | 0.019 | |
| Obstetrics & Gynaecology | −1.14 (−22.19, 20.07) | 12.31 | 0.423 | 0.32 | 0.218 | |
| Psychiatry | −3.81 (−27.76, −0.95)* | 11.96 | 0.008 | 0.02 | 0.003 | |
| (1 = not dissuaded; 2 = probably dissuaded; 3 = uncertain; 4 = probably not dissuaded; 5 = not dissuaded) | Dissuaded from entering a specialty by experienced since starting work | −0.33 (−1.31, 0.21) | 0.42 | 0.170 | 0.72 | 0.215 |
| (1 = no influence; 2 = moderate influence; 3 = strong influence) | Enjoyed the specialty since starting work | −0.77 (−3.00, −0.03) | 1.79 | 0.057 | 0.46 | 0.046 |
| Constant | 3.83 (−1.37, 15.89) | 6.69 | 0.102 | 46.23 | 0.115 | |
