Figure 12

The black bars show the observed distributions of A-level grades attained by a) all UCAS applicants, b) all medical school applicants, and c) all medical school entrants. The yellow bars show the fitted distribution which has been estimated on the basis of a normal distribution which has been truncated at 6 points and censored at 30 points, with all individuals scoring more than 30 points being included in the 30 point bin. The orange bars show the proportions of individuals who would have been expected to gain 32, 34, 36 etc. points, where 36 points can be construed as three A* grades, 42 points three A** grades, etc..