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Table 2 Logistic regression predicting the likelihood of passing the NMLE

From: Identifying and supporting students at risk of failing the National Medical Licensure Examination in Japan using a predictive pass rate

Variables

B

S.E.

Wald chi-square

P-values

Odd ratio (OR)

95% CI

A: forced entry method

 Gender

1.008

0.974

1.071

0.301

2.739

0.406–18.473

Age at admission

−0.133

0.055

5.853

0.0156

0.875

0.786–0.975

HS location

1.603

0.72

4.96

0.0259

4.966

1.212–20.348

 Type of HS

−0.77

0.591

1.699

0.192

0.463

0.145–1.474

 Academic Level of HS

−0.033

0.051

0.437

0.508

0.967

0.876–1.068

 HS GPA

0.266

0.494

0.29

0.59

1.305

0.496–3.434

 NCTUA score

0.031

0.063

0.234

0.629

1.031

0.911–1.168

 TOEFL score

0.005

0.011

0.184

0.668

1.005

0.984–1.026

 Academic performance in liberal arts

−0.021

0.019

1.277

0.258

0.979

0.944–1.016

 Basic sciences

0.037

0.084

0.197

0.657

1.038

0.880–1.224

 Basic biomedical sciences

0.094

0.091

1.073

0.3

1.099

0.920–1.312

Pre-clinical medical sciences

−0.359

0.111

10.522

0.00118

0.698

0.562–0.867

CBT-IRT

0.161

0.047

11.665

0.00064

1.175

1.071–1.288

 Pre-CC OSCE

−0.051

0.7

0.005

0.942

0.95

0.241–3.746

Performance in clinical clerkship

1.424

0.541

6.933

0.00846

4.155

1.439–11.994

Graduation exam

1.728

0.475

13.21

0.00028

5.629

2.217–14.293

 Holdover

0.682

0.757

0.81

0.368

1.977

0.448–8.720

 AUC

0.970

     

B: stepwise method

Age at admission

−0.155

0.047

10.895

0.00096

0.856

0.781–0.939

HS location

1.576

0.672

5.509

0.0189

4.837

1.297–18.039

Pre-clinical medical sciences

−0.254

0.085

9.012

0.00268

0.775

0.657–0.915

CBT-IRT

0.167

0.04

17.553

0.00003

1.181

1.093–1.277

Performance in clinical clerkship

1.454

0.475

9.537

0.00222

4.279

1.686–10.861

Graduation exam

1.701

0.424

16.089

0.00006

5.478

2.386–12.577

 AUC

0.967

     
  1. AUC Area under the curve, CBT-IRT Computer-Based Testing with Item Response Theory, HS High school, NCTUA National Center Test for University Admissions, Pre-CC OSCE Pre-Clinical Clerkship Objective Structured Clinical Examination, TOEFL Test of English as a Foreign Language. Bold letters and digits indicate significance (p < 0.05). The variables above the dotted line show factors before admission, while those below the line were after admission