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Table 2 Certainty of career choice by specialty chosen one, three and five years after graduation: numbers (N) and percentages (%) of respondents

From: Junior doctors’ early career choices do not predict career destination in neurology: 40 years of surveys of UK medical graduates

 

Level of certainty about career choice

Year after graduation

Specialty choice

Definite

N(%)

Probable

N(%)

Uncertain

N(%)

Total

N(%)

Year 1

Neurology

81 (19.7)

236 (57.4)

94 (22.9)

411 (100)

Other hospital physician specialties

1191 (12.7)

4663 (49.9)

3498 (37.4)

9352 (100)

Year 3

Neurology

93 (32.9)

133 (47.0)

57 (20.1)

283 (100.0)

Other hospital physician specialties

1220 (25.3)

2363 (49.1)

1233 (25.6)

4816 (100.0)

Year 5

Neurology

149 (67.4)

59 (26.7)

13 (5.9)

221 (100.0)

Other hospital physician specialties

2079 (60.7)

1074 (31.4)

270 (7.9)

3423 (100.0)

  1. χ22 test results, comparing those who chose neurology with those who chose other hospital physician specialties: Year 1 χ22 = 41.8, p < .001; Year 3 χ22 = 9.3, p = .010; Year 5 χ22 = 4.1, p = .132
  2. In this paper “other hospital physician specialties” comprises general medicine, cardiology, dermatology, endocrinology, geriatrics, nephrology, chest medicine, rheumatology/rehabilitation, academic medicine, genito-urinary medicine (or venereology), gastroenterology, vascular medicine, tropical medicine, clinical pharmacology, infectious diseases, occupational medicine (or industrial medicine)