Table 2 Selection processes modelled

Random selection: The baseline condition in which trainees are selected at random from Round 1 applications until all training posts are filled.

2015 selection process: The actual selection process used in 2015 in which applications in both Rounds 1 and 2 had to achieve a cut score of 181 on each Stage 2 test and obtain a final Stage 3 outcome of “demonstrated competency for training” to be offered a training post. Note that the constraints imposed by these cut scores meant that in practice it was not possible for more than 3000 training posts to be filled.

Stage 2 selection only: Round 1 applications are sorted on their total Stage 2 scores and trainees selected from the highest to lowest scores until all posts are filled. No cut score is applied.

Stage 3 selection only: Round 1 applications are sorted on their Stage 3 total scores and trainees selected from the highest to lowest scores until all posts are filled. No cut score is applied.