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Table 2 Comparison of Sensitivity and Specificity for inquiries regarding 1st specialty choices at the ends of medical school years 1, 2 and 3

From: Positive predictive value of medical student specialty choices

Postgraduate training specialty

End of Year 1

N = 378

End of Year 2

N = 338

End of Year 3

N = 360

No. trained in specialty

%

Sensitivity

No. not trained in specialty

%

Specificity

No. trained in specialty

%

Sensitivity

No. not trained in specialty

%

Specificity

No. trained in specialty

%

Sensitivity

No. not trained in specialty

%

Specificity

Anesthesiology

42

10a

336

98a

41

15b

297

98b

29

79

331

98

Emergency Medicine

43

47a

335

88a

41

66b

297

93b

36

86

324

98c

Family Medicine

45

33a

333

97a

40

53b

298

95b

51

82

309

98c

Internal Medicine

72

31a

306

83a

64

50b

274

81b

71

80

289

98

Obstetrics & Gynecology

30

17a

348

97a

24

38b

314

98b

29

83

331

98

Pediatrics

38

45a

340

88a

35

69b

303

92b

34

88

326

99

Psychiatry

24

8a

354

99a

22

27b

316

100b

24

83

336

100c

Surgery

19

47a

359

88a

18

67b

320

95b

23

87

337

99c

  1. P values for significant differences are shown in Additional files: aSee Additional file 1: Table S3a, bSee Additional file 1: Table S3b, cSee Additional file 1: Table S3c