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Table 1 PPV and NPV of 1st postgraduate specialty choices at the ends of medical school years 1, 2 and 3

From: Positive predictive value of medical student specialty choices

Postgraduate training specialty End of Year 1 N = 378 End of Year 2 N = 338 End of Year 3 N = 360
1st choice (N) PPV (%) Other choice (N) NPV (%) 1st choice (N) PPV (%) Other choice (N) NPV (%) 1st choice (N) PPV (%) Other choice (N) NPV (%)
Anesthesiology 10 40 368 90a 11 55 327 89b 29 79 331 98c
Emergency Medicine 60 33a 318 93a 49 55 289 95b 38 82 322 98c
Family Medicine 25 60a 353 92a 35 60b 303 94b 49 86 311 97
Internal Medicine 74 30a 304 84a 84 38b 254 87b 63 90 297 95c
Obstetrics & Gynecology 15 33 363 93a 15 60 323 95b 29 83 331 98c
Pediatrics 58 29a 320 93a 47 51 291 96b 34 88 326 99c
Psychiatry 4 50 374 94a 7 86b 331 95b 21 95 339 99c
Surgery 53 17a 325 97a 27 44 311 98b 23 87 337 99c
  1. P values for significant differences are shown in Additional files: aSee Additional file 1: Table S3a, bSee Additional file 1: Table S3b, cSee Additional file 1: Table S3c