Positive predictive value of medical student specialty choices

BMC Medical Education

Table 1 PPV and NPV of 1st postgraduate specialty choices at the ends of medical school years 1, 2 and 3

Postgraduate training specialty	End of Year 1 N = 378				End of Year 2 N = 338				End of Year 3 N = 360
Postgraduate training specialty	1st choice (N)	PPV (%)	Other choice (N)	NPV (%)	1st choice (N)	PPV (%)	Other choice (N)	NPV (%)	1st choice (N)	PPV (%)	Other choice (N)	NPV (%)
Anesthesiology	10	40	368	90^a	11	55	327	89^b	29	79	331	98^c
Emergency Medicine	60	33^a	318	93^a	49	55	289	95^b	38	82	322	98^c
Family Medicine	25	60^a	353	92^a	35	60^b	303	94^b	49	86	311	97
Internal Medicine	74	30^a	304	84^a	84	38^b	254	87^b	63	90	297	95^c
Obstetrics & Gynecology	15	33	363	93^a	15	60	323	95^b	29	83	331	98^c
Pediatrics	58	29^a	320	93^a	47	51	291	96^b	34	88	326	99^c
Psychiatry	4	50	374	94^a	7	86^b	331	95^b	21	95	339	99^c
Surgery	53	17^a	325	97^a	27	44	311	98^b	23	87	337	99^c

P values for significant differences are shown in Additional files: ^aSee Additional file 1: Table S3a, ^bSee Additional file 1: Table S3b, ^cSee Additional file 1: Table S3c

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