Table 5 The commonly used incorrect Bayesian approaches*
Training session | Follow-up examination | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
total | Frequency tree | 2 × 2 table | total | Frequency tree | 2 × 2 table | |
correct positive rate/ false positive rate | 41 | 26 (63) | 15 (37) | 16 | 11 (69) | 5 (31) |
disease yes / all positives | 14 | 7 (50) | 7 (50) | 37 | 20 (54) | 17 (46) |
correct positives / disease yes | 11 | 6 (55) | 5 (45) | 22 | 11 (50) | 11 (50) |
all positives / total | 4 | 4 (100) | 0 (0) | 14 | 6 (43) | 8 (57) |
all positives / 100 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 6 | 6 (100) | 0 (0) |
disease yes / correct positives | 4 | 1 (25) | 3 (75) | 1 | 1 (100) | 0 (0) |
all positives/ correct positives | 4 | 0 (0) | 4 (100) | 5 | 5 (100) | 0 (0) |
not identified | 23 | 13 (57) | 10 (43) | 29 | 14 (48) | 15 (52) |
total | 101 | 57 (56) | 44 (44) | 130 | 74 (57) | 56 (43) |